Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.349355 0.459475 0.579930 0.719486 0.874934 1.041214 1.231061
2025-06-22 0.182984 0.320087 0.489495 0.703804 0.959281 1.247339 1.590650
2025-06-29 0.102670 0.240216 0.429890 0.686357 1.006337 1.378976 1.834151
2025-07-06 0.067098 0.207904 0.421199 0.724203 1.114140 1.577763 2.152708
2025-07-13 0.045413 0.187795 0.422782 0.770200 1.227921 1.780414 2.472952
2025-07-20 0.029073 0.169199 0.421985 0.809834 1.331482 1.969280 2.775913
2025-07-27 0.021890 0.166540 0.444011 0.879771 1.473197 2.204258 3.133636
2025-08-03 0.013611 0.155174 0.449488 0.924849 1.581636 2.397757 3.441331
2025-08-10 0.005080 0.131657 0.430237 0.931692 1.637996 2.525529 3.668908
2025-08-17 0.000024 0.092718 0.374628 0.879413 1.611704 2.547279 3.765658
2025-08-24 NaN 0.059437 0.318676 0.819988 1.571168 2.547750 3.833705
2025-08-31 NaN 0.042388 0.291125 0.801974 1.585450 2.616363 3.984080
2025-09-07 NaN 0.034379 0.284842 0.821078 1.655999 2.763009 4.238566
2025-09-14 NaN 0.022818 0.262871 0.811599 1.685241 2.856381 4.427832
2025-09-21 NaN 0.012703 0.236485 0.790753 1.695653 2.923315 4.582403
2025-09-28 NaN 0.011384 0.243989 0.832071 1.798024 3.112239 4.891270
2025-10-05 NaN 0.011000 0.255687 0.881333 1.912354 3.317234 5.220695
2025-10-12 NaN 0.010018 0.263890 0.923890 2.016700 3.509043 5.533608
2025-10-19 NaN 0.012116 0.288816 0.998732 2.169776 3.766179 5.929711
2025-10-26 NaN 0.011642 0.299837 1.046885 2.282804 3.969932 6.258238
2025-11-02 NaN 0.007816 0.289949 1.054186 2.334064 4.090982 6.481714
2025-11-09 NaN 0.001840 0.249638 0.998352 2.287724 4.079837 6.535988
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.208507 0.934759 2.226147 4.045892 6.559348